NFL draft Carson Wentz tops ranking of recent first-round QBs

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NFL draft: Carson Wentz tops ranking of recent first-round QBs Published: Apr 05, 2018 at 03:50 AM Gil Brandt On April 26, a handful of teams will likely attempt to solve their quarterback problems in the first round of the 2018 . As the draft nears and the hype builds around a crop of QB prospects -- most notably, , , , and -- I thought I'd try to put things in context with a look back at first-round QBs selected in recent years. Below is my ranking -- encompa sing both past performance and future potential -- of the 12 quarterbacks who have been drafted in the first round from 2013 through '17. The careers of the players taken in that five-year span -- chosen to reflect the maximum length of a rookie contract for a first-rounder -- show the wide range of outcomes that can be expected, even in the first round. **Drafted:** No. 2 overall by the in 2016. After seeing Wentz two years ago, I was shocked the didn't draft him. Instead, Cleveland to the , who ended up with a star, while the ' decades-long QB search continues. Wentz likely would have won the MVP award last season had he not in Week 14 against the . In his second pro campaign, Wentz threw for 33 touchdowns against seven picks with a pa ser rating of 101.9 while pushing the eventual champs to an 11-2 start. He's smart, athletic, accurate and has a great rapport with his teammates. You can't ask for much more out of a first-round QB. **Career stats:** 29 games | 29 starts (18-11) | 61.5 pct | 7,078 pa s yds | 6.8 ypa | 49 pa s TD | 21 INT | 88.8 pa ser rating </content:power- Bob Pettit Jersey ranking> **Drafted:** No. 1 overall by the in 2015. Generally speaking, Winston is the most polished pocket pa ser on this list. A lack of consistency and erratic ball security are the two main factors keeping him from sustained excellence in the NFL. One week, he'll throw for 375 yards, and you'll get excited. And then the next week, he'll put up 150 yards with a handful of turnovers. I think Winston just has to learn to not take as many chances and to force the ball le s. I'd also like to see him be a bigger running threat. That said, he was further hampered by the lack of a real rushing attack in Tampa. If some semblance of a ground game can be a sembled, the other pieces are in place -- including one of the best receivers in the NFL in , plus , and -- for Winston to really break out in 2018. **Career stats:** 45 games | 45 starts (18-27) | 60.8 pct | 11,636 pa s yds | 7.5 ypa | 69 pa s TD | 44 INT | 87.2 pa ser rating </content:power-ranking> **Drafted:** No. 2 overall by the in 2015. Last season, I think a lot of people expected Mariota to continue building off a mostly positive 2016. But while he showed flashes in a handful of game-winning moments, the QB kind of leveled off, throwing half as many touchdown pa ses as he did in '16 (13, down from 26) and almost twice as many picks (15, up from nine). Maybe a deficiency at receiver was a factor; either way, with Mike Vrabel taking over at coach and bringing in a new staff, Mariota has a chance to resume his upward climb. He's a tremendous athlete with a ton of talent who is still really learning to play the game. **Career stats:** 42 games | 42 starts (20-22) | 61.8 pct | 9,476 pa s yds | 7.4 ypa | 58 pa s TD | 34 INT | 88.6 pa ser rating </content:power-ranking> **Drafted:** No. 3 overall by the in 2014. Bortles has been the target of plenty of criticism over the years, but don't forget that he is the only player on this list with multiple playoff wins -- and he nearly reached LII. Offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett is a wonderful coach, and I think Bortles will continue to make strides under his tutelage. I just see something in Bortles, a smart guy who had to really learn the position after spending his college years on a run-centric UCF team. Losing receiver to the via free agency is tough. Still, he should take another step forward in 2018 and put doubts about his quarterbacking ability to rest. **Career stats:** 62 games | 61 starts (21-40) | 59.1 pct | 14,928 pa s yds | 6.7 ypa | 90 pa s TD | 64 INT | 80.8 pa ser rating </content:power-ranking> **Drafted:** No. 1 overall by the in 2016. The epic leap Goff made from Year 1 to Year 2 illustrates just how important factors like coaching, scheme and the rest of the roster are to the succe s of a young quarterback. As a rookie, Goff racked up a ghastly 0-7 record with a 5:7 TD-to-INT ratio. Last season, in Sean McVay's first year at the helm in Los Angeles, Goff went 11-4 with a 28:7 TD-to-INT ratio and a 100.5 pa ser rating. McVay is one of the great offensive minds in football -- he's just REALLY impre sive as a coach. His ability to make better reminds me of Tom Landry. Looking ahead, trade acquisition further brightens Goff's prospects. And, of course, there's still dynamic running back , whom McVay also unlocked in 2017, to help carry the offense. Goff is safely back on track after a rough start to his NFL career. **Career stats:** 22 games | 22 starts (11-11) | 59.8 pct | 4,893 pa s yds | 7.2 ypa | 33 pa s TD | 14 INT | 89.4 pa ser rating </content:power-ranking> **Drafted:** No. 12 overall by the in 2017. Watson was the front-runner for Offensive Rookie of the Year before in November. The last time we saw him in game action, Watson threw for 402 yards and four touchdowns (while chipping in 67 yards on the ground) in against the . He also holds the record for most touchdown pa ses in a player's first seven career games (19). Basically, he's an athletic QB who runs and throws well and has succeeded at every level. coach Bill O'Brien will keep Watson on the right track, especially after a full offseason of working with him. You always worry a little bit about an injury as serious as an ACL tear, but modern medicine is amazing and, as with Wentz, I expect Watson to be his old self when he returns. **Career stats:** 7 games | 6 starts (3-3) | 61.8 pct | 1,699 pa s yds | 8.3 ypa | 19 pa s TD | 8 INT | 103.0 pa ser rating </content:power-ranking> **Drafted:** No. 2 overall by the in 2017. Trubisky only started 13 games in college (at North Carolina), so there's still some seasoning that needs to be done. But he runs well and helped Chicago close out 2017 with a 2-2 record despite a complete lack of healthy receiving talent. The are hoping new coach Matt Nagy can install an offense that capitalizes on Trubisky's athleticism and impre sive arm strength. While we haven't seen what Nagy can do as a head coach yet, I think he's something special. Plus, Chicago really beefed up the offense, adding receivers and and tight end to a group that already included promising running backs and . Trubisky should thrive in Year 2. **Career stats:** 12 games | 12 starts (4-8) | 59.4 pct | 2,139 pa s yds | 6.6 ypa | 7 pa s TD | 7 INT | 77.5 pa ser rating </content:power-ranking> **Drafted:** No. 32 overall by the in 2014. Jaylen Adams Jersey Bridgewater showed plenty of promise in his first two years as a starter in the NFL. Unfortunately, he might never be able to fulfill his potential after basically wiped out Years 3 and 4 of his career. He's hard to rank here, because we just don't know yet whether he'll be as effective as he was before that knee injury. On one hand, ultimately, he did not become a franchise quarterback for the . On the other hand, Minnesota win with him. Now he's a veteran at a cro sroads, having signed on with the , who also inked and will likely draft a QB third overall this year. Bridgewater's a tremendous young man and I hope he does well -- I just don't know what to expect at this point. **Career stats:** 30 games | 28 starts (17-11) | 64.7 pct | 6,150 pa s yds | 7.2 ypa | 28 pa s TD | 22 INT | 86.3 pa ser rating </content:power-ranking> **Drafted:** No. 10 overall by the in 2017. Mahomes is long on potential and short on experience, with to his name. He has all the attributes you need to be good: He's smart and athletic with an incredible arm, and he's in a system that's quarterback-friendly. When I was in camp last year, I saw him roll right on one pa s, outside the right hashmark, and throw the ball completely over to the left hashmark about 50 yards downfield. Whenever you see a guy who can do that, it's worth taking note. He's got some serious a sets in Kansas City, with joining and . And the are obviously bullish about his 2018 outlook, having traded -- who won 51 games, including playoffs, in five years with them -- to Washington this offseason. Mahomes should be good eventually -- you just don't know when that will be. **Career stats:** 1 game | 1 start (1-0) | 62.9 pct | 284 pa s yds | 8.1 ypa | 0 pa s TD | 1 INT | 76.4 pa ser rating </content:power-ranking> **Drafted:** No. 26 overall by the in 2016. The look like they're moving on from Lynch just two years into his career, with veteran coming aboard and the realistic po sibility that Denver will take a quarterback fifth overall in the draft. I think Lynch was overdrafted, a miscalculated selection at a position of need, and he simply didn't turn out. Yes, he's been injured, but you have to look at the whole picture with him, and it isn't encouraging. coming out of high school. And when you consider Lynch's last game of his college career against Auburn -- he was 16 of 37 for 106 yards and a pick -- it's clear there were things to be concerned about. **Career stats:** 5 games | 4 starts (1-3) | 61.7 pct | 792 pa s yds | 6.2 ypa | 4 pa s TD | 4 INT | 76.7 pa ser rating </content:power-ranking> **Drafted:** No. 16 overall by the in 2013. In a bad year for quarterbacks, Manuel was, like Lynch, overdrafted and ultimately fizzled out in Buffalo. He now seems destined for a career as a backup. defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz -- who was on the coaching staff in Buffalo during Manuel's time there -- told me nobody works harder than Manuel. He has athletic ability and he's smart, and he's a very nice person. He just struggles with accuracy to the point where he's not a viable starter. **Career stats:** 30 games | 18 starts (6-12) | 58.1 pct | 3,767 pa s yds | 6.4 ypa | 20 pa s TD | 16 INT | 77.1 pa ser rating </content:power-ranking> **Drafted:** No. 22 overall by the in 2014. Manziel has been out of the NFL for two years and out of school Treveon Graham Jersey for four. and maturity -- as well as an allegation of domestic violence that -- caused things to go sideways in Cleveland, which was not in the best shape, organizationally speaking, when he entered the league. The former Heisman Trophy winner still has excellent ability, based on what he showed working out -- he's the kind of guy who can make plays with his feet and his arm. Additionally, he has great on-field leadership potential. I don't think he's lost any of his throwing ability or playmaking savvy. If he can stay out of trouble and sign on somewhere -- and I think someone take a chance and bring him in -- he can still be a factor. **Career stats:** 15 games | 8 starts (2-6) | 57.0 pct | 1,675 pa s yds | 6.5 ypa | 7 pa s TD | 7 INT | 74.4 pa ser rating </content:power-ranking> This article has been reproduced in a new format and may be mi sing content or contain faulty links. Please use the Contact Us link in our site footer to report an i sue.
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